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Feb 17, 2026
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SHORT
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"Unemployment rate in the U.K. hitting the highest since the pandemic cementing the bet on two interest rate cuts... Sterling weakening." Weak labor data forces the Bank of England to cut rates aggressively (March/April). Lower rates relative to peers (or just the expectation of them) devalues the currency. SHORT Sterling (GBP) against the USD or Euro. Unexpectedly high UK inflation data forcing the BoE to hold rates. |
Bloomberg Markets
Stock Futures Slide; US, Iran Hold Talks in G...
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Feb 17, 2026
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LONG
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"ZIM shipping up a whopping 40% on the back of some M&A news... Danaher nearing a $10 billion deal for Masimo... Norwegian Cruise is up on the back of activist investor Elliott taking a stake... Paramount... renewed talks with Warner Bros." We are in a high-velocity M&A environment. ZIM and MASI are direct buyout targets with immediate premiums. NCLH is an activist turnaround play (Elliott usually forces operational improvements or a sale). PARA is in a bidding war (Warner vs. Netflix), which typically drives the price to the highest bidder. LONG these specific tickers as event-driven plays. Regulatory blocking of deals (antitrust) or deal financing falling through. |
Bloomberg Markets
Stock Futures Slide; US, Iran Hold Talks in G...
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Feb 13, 2026
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SHORT
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President Trump is planning to narrow the scope/roll back the 50% tariffs on aluminum and steel to address cost of living. The removal of protectionist tariffs increases foreign supply in the US market, forcing domestic prices down (Aluminum and Steel prices already dropping in response). Short domestic metals producers as pricing power erodes. The report could be false, or the rollback might be smaller than expected. |
Bloomberg Markets
Trump Team Plans Metals Tariff Rollback; NASA...
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Feb 13, 2026
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LONG
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Venezuela is granting more oil production land to Chevron; production expected to grow 30-40% in the first year. The US administration is pushing for private companies to rebuild Venezuela's energy sector. Chevron is in "pole position" due to existing infrastructure. Long CVX as the primary beneficiary of Venezuelan energy reopening. Political instability in Venezuela or US policy reversal. |
Bloomberg Markets
Trump Team Plans Metals Tariff Rollback; NASA...
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